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Thai economy to expand 4 percent next year: ADB

Thailand’s economy will grow 4 percent in 2021, more than 1 percentage point lower than Southeast Asia’s average, according to the Asian Development Bank (ADB).
Thai economy to expand 4 percent next year: ADB ảnh 1Illustrative image (Photo: //www.nationthailand.com/)

Bangkok (VNA) – Thailand’s economy will grow 4 percent in2021,  more than 1 percentage point lowerthan Southeast Asia’s average, according to the Asian Development Bank (ADB).

In its latest forecast, ABD downgraded the ASEAN region’s outlook for 2021,with Southeast Asia now expected to grow 5.2 percent next year compared to 5.5percent forecast in September.

The bank also downgraded its 2020 GDP forecast for Southeast Asia to -4.4 percentfrom -3.8 percent in September. It projects the Thai economy this year will contract7.8 percent, down sharply from 2.4 percent growth last year.

Meanwhile, the Thai baht’s appreciationis poised to continue until the end of 2021 as a result of the weaker USD andThailand's current account surplus, according to the Economic IntelligenceCenter (EIC), a research house under Siam Commercial Bank.

External factors contributing to the firmer baht include the weaker USD,a larger US budget deficit, less volatility in global trade tensions andprogress in COVID-19 vaccines, causing capital inflows to emerging marketeconomies, said Yunyong Thaicharoen, first executive vice-president of EIC.

The Thai economy hasdeclined by 12.1 percent and 6.4 percent, respectively, in the second quarter andthe third quarter of 2020 due to adverse impacts of COVID-19 pandemic on its tourismindustry.

CIMB Thai Bank forecasted that Thailand'seconomy will see a clear recovery momentum in 2022 as domestic demand willremain weak in 2021./.
VNA

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